ESI Blog - Trading the Trends!

CPC - Chemspec Intl Prices Wednesday, June 24, 2009

24 June 2009

CPC - Chemspec Intl priced 8.09 M at $9 (top of initial $7-9 range). Lead underwriters were Citigroup and Credit Suisse. Chemspec is a China-based contract manufacturer of highly engineered specialty chemicals


IPO’s Expected for Week of 6/22/09

23 June 2009

Looks like ther may be as many as four IPO’s this week alone. They would be DGN - Duoyuan Global Water, MDSO - Medidata Solutions, CPC - Chemspec Intl and IVR - Invesco Mortgage Capital. I’ll get more info on these later.


ACAP - American Phyisicians Capital Announces Stock Split

23 June 2009

ACAP announced a 4:3 stock split today, payable 7/31/09. Its up $0.25 in afterhours and will probably pop a bit tomorrow, Personally I think the markets will pop a bit tomorrow, so announcing a stiock split should help it along too.


CYS - Cypress Sharpridge Investments, Inc. IPO Opens for Trading

15 June 2009

Last Friday we had an IPO price and trade. It was CYS - Cypress Sharpridge Investments, Inc. and it priced 9.1M shares (revised up from 8.5M) at $11 and opened at $12. It’s initial range was $11-13, so it price at the low end of the range. Lead Underwriter was Barclays Capital. Cypress Sharpridge invests across multiple asset classes with a current focus on agency residential mortgage-backed securities and subordinated tranches of asset-backed securities, including collateralized debt obligations.


IPO’s Expected for Week of June 1, 2009

1 June 2009

This week (not that they happen every week you know) we have GOV - Government Properties Income out to sell 10.0 M shares with an initial range of $20-22. Lead Underwriters are Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and Wachovia.

Government Properties Income is a real estate company formed to invest in properties that are majority leased to government tenants.


OpenTable, Inc. IPO’d Today

21 May 2009

OPEN - OpenTable, Inc. went public today and did very well. SWI - SolarWInds, Inc. IPO’s the other day and did well also. They both made the watch list too.


IPO’s Expected for Week of May 18, 2009

19 May 2009

Okay, we have two possible IPO’s this week.

The first is SWI - Solarwinds, with a 12.12 M share offering at an initial range of $9.50-11.50. JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley are the lead underwriters of this leading provider of enterprise-class network management.

Next up is OPEN - Opentable, Inc. with 3.0M shares offered at an initial $12-14 range which has since been revised up to $16-18. Lead underwriter is Merrill Lynch. Opentable, Inc. is a leading supplier of reservation, table management and guest management software for restaurants and also runs the website opentable.com.


STOCK SPLITS - Recovery Must Be Here!

19 May 2009

Yes, we have two stock split announcements today. The are a 2:1 from ABC (AmerisourceBergen Corp) and a 3:2 out of GMCR (Green Mountain Coffee). See details at the links.


Low pes Stocks for Thursday 04/23/09

22 April 2009

Well we had a few good ones yesterday and MRK hit the bottom of its channel and bounced into the close. That’s the opposite of what many stocks did today. MRK could easily bounce 10% over the next day or two. Anyways, here’s tomorrows.

ADS - Alliance Data Systems Corporation - 4/23/2009 - $40.68
GENZ - Genzyme General - 4/23/2009 - $51.34
NEU - Ethyl Corporation - 4/23/2009 - $50.09
PTV - Pactiv Corporation - 4/23/2009 - $17.14
PFCB - P.F.Chang’s China Bistro, Inc. - 4/23/2009 - $32.54
STJ - St. Jude Medical, Inc. - 4/23/2009 - $35.50
TIN - Temple-Inland Inc. - 4/23/2009 - $9.05
TMK - Torchmark Corporation - 4/23/2009 - $30.41
WLP - Wellpoint Health Networks Inc. - 4/23/2009 - $41.98
ba - Boeing Company (The) - 4/23/2009 - $37.30
efx - Equifax Inc. - 4/23/2009 - $26.36
ppdi - Pharmaceutical Product Development, Inc. - 4/23/2009 - $18.5
pds - Precision Drilling Corporation - 4/23/2009 - $4.53
wfc - Wells Fargo & Co. - 4/23/2009 - $18.18
wgov - Woodward Governor Company - 4/23/2009 - $15


Low pes Stocks for Tomorrow

21 April 2009

This type of stock tends to work well to give quick 10% moves. Try to catch them near the bottof their “Linear Regression Channels”. Often when they sell off right after their earnings report, they will jump down near the bottom o the channel.

ARB - Arbitron Inc. - 4/22/2009 - $19.84
EAT - Binker International Inc. - 4/22/2009 - $18.39
GILD - Gilead Sciences, Inc. - 4/22/2009 - $43.73
HCBK - Hudson City Bancorp, Inc. - 4/22/2009 - $12.53
UNH - UnitedHealth Group Inc. - 4/22/2009 - $22.80
WMS - Wms Industries Inc - 4/22/2009 - $26.88
bsx - Boston Scientific Corporation - 4/22/2009 - $8.45
frx - Forest Laboratories, Inc. - 4/22/2009 - $21.57
lxk - Lexmark International, Inc. - 4/22/2009 - $17.38
lmt - Lockheed Martin - 4/22/2009 - $76.04
mrk - Merck & Co Inc. - 4/22/2009 - $23.54
usb - U.S. Bancorp - 4/22/2009 - $19.27

Example: MRK is near the bottom of it’s Linear Regression Channel (100%). It is however in a downtrend, but it could easily move up the aforementioned 10%.


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